Industry News Paper Market

LSC Communications Monthly Paper Market Update April 2018

Industry News

Catalyst Curtails Production at Powell River Mill in British Columbia Due to Lack of Fiber
– PM11 will be down three weeks from approximately 4/16/18 to 5/7/18; PM10 will continue to operate as normal
– Fiber availability issue has been getting progressively worse over many years leading up to this action
– High bright uncoated groundwoods (Electrabrite/Electrastar) and SNC grades (ElectraPrime/Electrical) are impacted

Appleton Coated Restarts Third Paper Machine, Renames Company as Midwest Paper Group
– The product line is shifting to corrugating medium and containerboard grades; some capacity still producing publication grades

Verso, Port Hawkesbury, Irving Agree to Conditional Settlement of Trade Dispute on SC Papers
– Verso petitions to have countervailing duties (CVD) on SC paper from Canada revoked retroactive to 2015 and strikes the agreement with PH and Irving to receive a share of the refunded duties
– The request is under review by US Dept. of Commerce, not clear if the request will be granted
– CVD rates still in effect are 15.6% for PH, 5.1% for Irving and 1.79% for Resolute; Catalyst was excluded from CVD order in April 2017

Canadian Pacific Railroad Receives Reprieve on Strike Scheduled for 4/21/18
– CP’s request for a vote on final offer delays strike by Teamsters and IBEW unions; unions say strike remains inevitable
– CP operates in Canada and US; strike would put pressure on other railroads and trucking industry (which is already stretched to meet demand) to pick up additional freight
– https://www.reuters.com/article/us-cp- strike/unions-agree- to-postpone-saturday- strike-at- canadian-pacific- idUSKBN1HR2HR

Market Pulp Prices Continue to Increase in 2018

 

Mill Operating Rates
(Shipments to Capacity – Seasonally Adjusted)

 

Product Segment Commentary

Coated Freesheet
– Lead times 5 – 8 weeks; operating rates continue to be very high, above recent historical Q2 averages
– SAPPI conversion project at Skowhegan nearing completion; converted machine expected to restart on 4/23; will start back up making publication grades, packaging grades later
– Verso, SAPPI and others have announced price increases on sheetfed grades for April through July of 4 – 5%.

Coated Groundwood
– Lead times 4 – 8 weeks; operating rates spiked in February, continue at much higher levels than in recent years

Uncoated Freesheet
– Lead times 4 – 6 weeks; impending capacity cuts keep market and pricing firm
– Operating rates expected to rise as PCA/Boise converts a machine at Wallula, GP closes machine at Camas
– Several mills announced price increases of 4% – 7% or $2.00 – $4.00/cwt depending on mill and product for various shipment dates in May
– Lowering of tariffs on paper from Brazil could lead to more imports

Uncoated Groundwood
– High bright grades lead times 8 – 12 weeks; SC lead times 6
– 8 weeks; newsprint lead times 8 – 12 weeks
– Mill reaction to anti-dumping duties (ADD) triggers price increases on newsprint and uncoated groundwood grades ranging from $2.00/cwt (those mills not subject to ADD) to as much as $6.25/cwt to take effect as soon as 3/26 out to 5/1
– NorPac part-time restart of PM1 to make high bright groundwood grades and corrugating medium adds some capacity to a very tight market
– Catalyst discontinues heavyweight directory in 22.1# bs wt
– SC suppliers have all announced a $2.00/cwt price increase for either 5/1/18 or 6/1/28

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